eprintid: 71772
rev_number: 10
eprint_status: archive
userid: 12460
dir: disk0/00/07/17/72
datestamp: 2025-07-11 08:16:08
lastmod: 2025-07-11 08:16:08
status_changed: 2025-07-11 08:16:08
type: thesis
metadata_visibility: show
contact_email: muh.khabib@uin-suka.ac.id
creators_name: Azziyah Putri Aprilia, NIM.: 21106010051
title: PERBANDINGAN METODE FUZZY TIME SERIES CHEN AVERAGE BASED DAN FUZZY TIME SERIES CHENG AVERAGE BASED PADA PERAMALAN HARGA SAHAM
ispublished: pub
subjects: 560
divisions: jur_mat
full_text_status: restricted
keywords: Peramalan, Saham, Fuzzy, Chen, Cheng, Time Series
note: Muhamad Rashif Hilmi, S.Si., M.Sc. dan  Aulia Khifah Futhona, M.Sc.
abstract: Stock investment has a high risk, because stock prices continue to move and fluctuate throughout the trading day. Therefore, accurate forecasting can help investors make decisions. Forecasting is a process of predicting something in the future by utilizing past data analyzed using statistical methods. The Chen and Cheng Fuzzy Time Series method was chosen because it is more flexible and reliable, especially for ambiguous or uncertain data. The purpose of this study is to forecast the closing stock price data of PT. Bank Syariah (BSI) for the period December 1, 2022 to December 30, 2024 using the Chen and Cheng Fuzzy Time Series method, and to compare the two methods. The comparison of the two methods is determined by calculating the smallest Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) value. The forecasting results using the Chen and Cheng Fuzzy Time Series method show movements that follow the actual data. Based on the calculation of the smallest Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) value, the Fuzzy Time Series Cheng method was chosen as a more accurate forecasting method, with a MAPE value of 1.66335%, while the MAPE value of Fuzzy Time Series Chen was 1.793334%. Therefore, the forecast of the closing stock price of BSI for the period of January 2, 2025 using the Fuzzy Time Series Cheng method is estimated at Rp. 2711.94 and the actual data shows the stock price of Rp. 1740.
date: 2025-05-28
date_type: published
pages: 122
institution: UIN SUNAN KALIJAGA YOGYAKARTA
department: FAKULTAS SAINS DAN TEKNOLOGI
thesis_type: skripsi
thesis_name: other
citation:   Azziyah Putri Aprilia, NIM.: 21106010051  (2025) PERBANDINGAN METODE FUZZY TIME SERIES CHEN AVERAGE BASED DAN FUZZY TIME SERIES CHENG AVERAGE BASED PADA PERAMALAN HARGA SAHAM.  Skripsi thesis, UIN SUNAN KALIJAGA YOGYAKARTA.   
document_url: https://digilib.uin-suka.ac.id/id/eprint/71772/1/21106010051_BAB-I_IV-atau-V_DAFTAR-PUSTAKA.pdf
document_url: https://digilib.uin-suka.ac.id/id/eprint/71772/2/21106010051_BAB-II_sampai_SEBELUM-BAB-TERAKHIR.pdf