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DETERMINANTS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH: ANALYSIS OF FOREIGN DEBT, EXPORTS, INFLATION, AND INTEREST RATES
Economic growth is used as an indicator that reflects the increase in production capacity and welfare of a country. This study aims to analyze the determinants of Indonesia's economic growth through the variables of foreign debt, exports, inflation, and interest rates from the period 1984-2023. The data analysis method used is Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) with time series data. The results of the study indicate that foreign debt has a negative and significant effect in the short term, and negative and insignificant in the long term. Exports have a positive and significant effect in the short term, but negative and insignificant in the long term. Inflation has a negative and significant effect in both the short and long term. Interest rates have a negative and insignificant effect in the short term, but a negative and significant effect in the long term. These findings are expected to provide empirical contributions in supporting the formulation of more responsive fiscal and monetary policies that are oriented towards the stability and sustainability of national economic growth.
FAKULTAS EKONOMI DAN BISNIS ISLAM, UIN SUNAN KALIJAGA YOGYAKARTA
DETERMINANTS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH: ANALYSIS OF FOREIGN DEBT, EXPORTS, INFLATION, AND INTEREST RATES (Text)
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