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        <dc:title>PEMODELAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA DENGAN PERSAMAAN SIMULTAN DATA PANEL STATIS DAN DINAMIS</dc:title>
        <dc:creator>Cindy Lauren Marentesa, NIM.: 21106010041</dc:creator>
        <dc:subject>515.6 Metode Analitik - Matematika</dc:subject>
        <dc:description>Economic growth and human development are two main indicators of regional&#13;
development success that influence each other in a complex manner. This study&#13;
aims to examine the simultaneous relationship between economic growth through&#13;
Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) and human development measured by&#13;
the Human Development Index (HDI) in Indonesia. In addition to testing the twoway&#13;
causality, this research focuses on comparing the forecasting accuracy&#13;
between the static panel data simultaneous equation model using the Two-Stage&#13;
Least Squares (2SLS) method and the dynamic panel data simultaneous equation&#13;
model using the 2SLS Generalized Method of Moments Arellano Bond (GMM&#13;
AB) method to determine the best estimation model. The data used covers 33&#13;
provinces in Indonesia, sourced from Statistics Indonesia (BPS). The simultaneity&#13;
test results indicate a significant simultaneous relationship between GRDP and&#13;
HDI. The accuracy calculation is evaluated using the Mean Absolute Percentage&#13;
Error (MAPE) and Mean Squared Error (MSE) indicators. The 2SLS GMM AB&#13;
method shows a MAPE value of 4.83% in the GRDP equation and 40.13% in the&#13;
HDI equation. The testing results demonstrate that the 2SLS GMM Arellano Bond&#13;
method is able to control time dynamic bias more optimally, thereby producing a&#13;
lower error rate and more precise prediction accuracy compared to the 2SLS&#13;
method.</dc:description>
        <dc:date>2026-08-14</dc:date>
        <dc:type>Thesis</dc:type>
        <dc:type>NonPeerReviewed</dc:type>
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        <dc:identifier>https://digilib.uin-suka.ac.id/id/eprint/79710/1/21106010041_BAB-I_IV-atau-V_DAFTAR-PUSTAKA.pdf</dc:identifier>
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        <dc:identifier>https://digilib.uin-suka.ac.id/id/eprint/79710/2/21106010041_BAB-II_sampai_SEBELUM-BAB-TERAKHIR.pdf</dc:identifier>
        <dc:identifier>  Cindy Lauren Marentesa, NIM.: 21106010041  (2026) PEMODELAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA DENGAN PERSAMAAN SIMULTAN DATA PANEL STATIS DAN DINAMIS.  Skripsi thesis, UIN SUNAN KALIJAGA YOGYAKARTA.   </dc:identifier></oai_dc:dc>
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