TY  - THES
N1  - Arya Fendha Ibnu Shina, M.Si. dan Arif Munandar, M.Sc.
ID  - digilib79710
UR  - https://digilib.uin-suka.ac.id/id/eprint/79710/
A1  - Cindy Lauren Marentesa, NIM.: 21106010041
Y1  - 2026/08/14/
N2  - Economic growth and human development are two main indicators of regional
development success that influence each other in a complex manner. This study
aims to examine the simultaneous relationship between economic growth through
Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) and human development measured by
the Human Development Index (HDI) in Indonesia. In addition to testing the twoway
causality, this research focuses on comparing the forecasting accuracy
between the static panel data simultaneous equation model using the Two-Stage
Least Squares (2SLS) method and the dynamic panel data simultaneous equation
model using the 2SLS Generalized Method of Moments Arellano Bond (GMM
AB) method to determine the best estimation model. The data used covers 33
provinces in Indonesia, sourced from Statistics Indonesia (BPS). The simultaneity
test results indicate a significant simultaneous relationship between GRDP and
HDI. The accuracy calculation is evaluated using the Mean Absolute Percentage
Error (MAPE) and Mean Squared Error (MSE) indicators. The 2SLS GMM AB
method shows a MAPE value of 4.83% in the GRDP equation and 40.13% in the
HDI equation. The testing results demonstrate that the 2SLS GMM Arellano Bond
method is able to control time dynamic bias more optimally, thereby producing a
lower error rate and more precise prediction accuracy compared to the 2SLS
method.
PB  - UIN SUNAN KALIJAGA YOGYAKARTA
KW  - PDRB
KW  -  IPM
KW  -  Persamaan Simultan
KW  -  Data Panel
KW  -  Metode 2SLS
KW  - 
Metode 2SLS GMM Arellano-Bond
KW  -  MAPE
KW  -  MSE
M1  - skripsi
TI  - PEMODELAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA DENGAN PERSAMAAN SIMULTAN DATA PANEL STATIS DAN DINAMIS
AV  - restricted
EP  - 140
ER  -