DETERMINAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA

Syafira Rizki Arsyad, NIM.: 23208011005 (2025) DETERMINAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA. Masters thesis, UIN SUNAN KALIJAGA YOGYAKARTA.

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Abstract

Economic growth is one of the key indicators used to evaluate the performance of regional development. This study aims to analyze the effects of labor, investment, inflation, and exports on economic growth in Indonesia by employing panel data from 32 provinces over the period 2001–2024. The research adopts a quantitative approach using the Estimated Generalized Least Squares (EGLS) panel regression model with cross-section weights to address interprovincial correlation and produce more reliable estimations. The results indicate that labor has not been able to significantly enhance economic growth in Indonesian regions, primarily due to the low quality of human resources. In contrast, investment shows a positive and significant effect on economic growth, implying that higher investment realization contributes to increased regional output. Inflation is found to have a negative and significant impact, suggesting that uncontrolled price increases reduce purchasing power and hinder economic activity. Meanwhile, exports have a positive and significant influence on economic growth, indicating that increased export activities strengthen regional income and support the expansion of domestic production. Overall, the findings highlight that a productive investment climate, price stability, and the enhancement of international trade activities are crucial factors in promoting regional economic growth in Indonesia. The results of this study are expected to provide a policy reference for both central and regional governments in formulating more effective and sustainable economic development strategies.

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