THE EFFECT OF EXCHANGE RATES, INFLATION, ECONOMIC GROWTH, AND INTEREST RATES ON THE CURRENT ACCOUNTS IN 8 ASEAN MEMBER COUNTRIES

Faza Safira Mahardika Putri, NIM.: 22108010116 (2026) THE EFFECT OF EXCHANGE RATES, INFLATION, ECONOMIC GROWTH, AND INTEREST RATES ON THE CURRENT ACCOUNTS IN 8 ASEAN MEMBER COUNTRIES. Skripsi thesis, UIN SUNAN KALIJAGA YOGYAKARTA.

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of macroeconomic variables on the current account in eight ASEAN countries during the period 2010–2024. The cur-rent account is an important component of the balance of payments that reflects a country’s international economic transactions, particularly in trade in goods and services, primary income, and secondary income. Current account imbalances may affect a country’s economic stability and international competitiveness, making it important to analyze the factors influencing the current account. The data used in this study are secondary data in the form of panel data covering eight ASEAN coun-tries. The analytical method employed is panel data regression using the best model selected through model selection tests, namely the common effect, fixed effect, and random effect models. The results indicate that the exchange rate variable has a negative and significant effect on the current account, while inflation, economic growth, and interest rates do not have significant effects. These findings suggest that the impact of macroeconomic variables on the current account is not uniform across countries. Overall, this study emphasizes that only certain macroeconomic variables play a significant role in influencing the current account in ASEAN coun-tries. Keyword: Macroeconomics, Current account, Panel Data, Exchange Rates, Random Effect Model, Economic Growth, ASEAN

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