THE DETERMINANTS OF TOBACCO PRODUCTION IN CENTRAL JAVA

Kamalia Uswatun Chasanah, NIM.: 22108010047 (2026) THE DETERMINANTS OF TOBACCO PRODUCTION IN CENTRAL JAVA. Skripsi thesis, UIN SUNAN KALIJAGA YOGYAKARTA.

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Abstract

This study analyzes the impact of tobacco land area, tobacco selling price, and the number of tobacco farmers on tobacco production in Central Java Province from 2014 to 2025. Secondary data obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) were analyzed using panel data regression with the Fixed Effect Model (FEM) approach across 24 regencies/cities (286 total panel observations). Simultaneously, the results show that all independent variables significantly affect tobacco production, accounting for 96.24% of the total variance in production. Partially, tobacco land area and the number of tobacco farmers have a statistically significant positive effect on tobacco production at the 5% significance level. Conversely, the tobacco selling price shows a negative and statistically non-significant effect on production volume. This study highlights the importance of preserving productive agricultural land, enhancing farmer capability, and stabilizing market trading mechanisms to sustain regional tobacco production growth.

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