ANALISIS PENGARUH FLUKTUASI HARGA MINYAK DUNIA, PERDAGANGAN EMISI KARBON, INFLASI, DAN KURS TERHADAP PEREKONOMIAN NEGARA INDONESIA TAHUN 1990-2022

Muhammad Azizi Alhakim, NIM.: 20108010012 (2024) ANALISIS PENGARUH FLUKTUASI HARGA MINYAK DUNIA, PERDAGANGAN EMISI KARBON, INFLASI, DAN KURS TERHADAP PEREKONOMIAN NEGARA INDONESIA TAHUN 1990-2022. Skripsi thesis, UIN SUNAN KALIJAGA YOGYAKARTA.

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Abstract

This study explains how the long-term and short-term effects of fluctuations in world oil prices, carbon emissions trading, inflation, and exchange rates on economic growth in Indonesia in 1990-2022. This research uses quantitative methods with secondary data and data retrieval through the World Bank and Investing.com. The type of data used is time series data with the best model approach, namely ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag). The results showed that in the long run, world oil prices have a significant positive effect; inflation has a significant negative effect on economic growth. In the short term, world oil prices have a significant negative effect on (t-3) and carbon emissions trading has a significant negative effect on (t-3); Inflation has a significant negative effect on (t) and the exchange rate has a significant negative effect on (t-2).

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