DAMPAK EKSPOR, KURS, BI RATE DAN INFLASI TERHADAP CADANGAN DEVISA DI INDONESIA TAHUN 2010-2020 MENURUT PRESPEKTIF EKONOMI ISLAM

Nila Defi Lusiani, NIM.: 19108010014 (2023) DAMPAK EKSPOR, KURS, BI RATE DAN INFLASI TERHADAP CADANGAN DEVISA DI INDONESIA TAHUN 2010-2020 MENURUT PRESPEKTIF EKONOMI ISLAM. Skripsi thesis, UIN SUNAN KALIJAGA YOGYAKARTA.

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Abstract

Indonesia is a developing country that is actively encouraging development in all sectors to improve people's welfare, especially in international trade activities. One of several sources of funds that are very important for the implementation of national development is foreign exchange. The funds collected will be kept in foreign exchange reserves and supervised by Bank Indonesia. This study aims to determine the involvement of export commodity variables, the Rupiah exchange rate against the US Dollar, the BI rate and the inflation rate on the quantity of foreign exchange reserves. This research uses monthly time series data from January 2010 to December 2021 obtained from the Ministry of Trade, Ceic Data Indonesia, Bank Indonesia and the Central Statistics Agency (BPS). The analytical tools in this study are the Error Correction Model (ECM) approach and the Classical Assumption Test with the calculation of the Eviews 12 program. The results of the simultaneous analysis show that all variables have an effect on Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves. Meanwhile, the results of the study partially in the short term show that the export and BI rate variables no have effect on Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves. The exchange rate variable has a negative effect, but the inflation variable has a positive effect on foreign exchange reserves. The results of the long-term analysis show that the export and exchange rate variables have a positive effect on Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves, but the BI rate and inflation variables no have effect on Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves for the 2010-2021 period.

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